COLLEGE BASEBALL SUPER REGIONALS ODDS

Super Regionals odds are accurate as of Tuesday, June 7. To bet on any price, click on the odds in the corresponding tables.
 
#1 Tennessee vs. Notre Dame (Knoxville, TN)
Tennessee -370
Notre Dame +280

The nation’s number-one team has the highest implied probability to reserve a seat in the CWS (78.7%). There’s no question as to why that is– the Vols lead the Irish in wOBA (pitching), team ERA, wOBA (hitting), home runs, run differential, the list goes on. Trey Lipscomb continues to be one of the nation’s most dangerous batters and closer Chase Dollander (SEC Pitcher of the Year) continues to wow with his 100+ mph arm.
 
Is there any chance Notre Dame stands in this series? Consistency from their rotation and the hope that Tennessee is already looking to Omaha.
 
#2 Stanford vs. UConn (Stanford, CA)
Stanford -285
UConn +225

UConn is a team with superior pitching to Stanford, but a far greater range of outcomes in quality of play. The Huskies were able to work their way out of arguably the weakest bracket in regional play with just a +1.5 run differential. A huge disadvantage for UConn, though, is their trek to Palo Alto, by far the longest trek of any team in the Supers (over 3,000 miles).
 
In their one Regional loss to Texas State, Stanford managed just two runs, and then again only four in their bracket-clinching win. However, pitching showed up every single game– a key in this series where they are outclassed on the mound by UConn. The Cardinal have the second-highest implied probability of any team to be in the final eight for a second straight year (74.0%).
 
#3 Oregon State vs. #14 Auburn (Corvallis, OR)
Oregon State -155
Auburn +125

Regional performance is reason for apprehension for Oregon State leading into this series. Outside of a 12-3 win over automatic qualifier San Diego, Oregon State came away from the Corvallis Regional with a -1.67 run differential. On the other hand, Auburn breezed through a tougher bracket with a +10.3 run differential (UCLA, Florida State). In nearly every aspect, the Tigers outplayed the Beavers in their respective regional bracket.
 
So does that mean bettors should dive headlong into Auburn? They have an implied win probability of 44.4%– not exactly an indictment on them. However, Oregon State rosters a vastly better pitching rotation, playing the top-four pitchers in FIP in this series.
 
#4 Virginia Tech vs. Oklahoma (Blacksburg, VA)
Virginia Tech -195
Oklahoma +160

Few teams have been as red-hot this postseason as the Oklahoma Sooners, who took both the Big 12 Tournament and the Gainesville Regional by surprise. Virginia Tech is one of the national favorites to win the CWS, having lost just one series during the regular season and coming away from their region with a +10.3 run differential. Tech leads OU in almost every category, notably wOBA in both hitting and pitching. Virginia Tech has a 66.1% implied win probability in the series.
 
#5 Texas A&M vs. #12 Louisville (College Station, TX)
Texas A&M -140
Louisville +110

Styles make fights and this Super Regional series may be a seriously entertaining one. While oddsmakers give Texas A&M a 58.3% implied probability to win this series, these teams appear to be much more even. Team rating, Regional run differential, wOBA in both hitting and pitching are all about even. A&M boasts the more impressive resume, having staved off TCU and Louisiana while Louisville was pushed to the brink by Michigan.
 
#8 East Carolina vs. #9 Texas (Greenville, NC)
East Carolina +140
Texas -170

East Carolina has been defying the odds ever since they got off to a very rough start at the beginning of the year. They made work of one of the lighter Regional brackets (Virginia, Coastal Carolina, Coppin State) and run into the nation’s hottest team, Texas. The Longhorns go toe-to-toe with ECU’s pitching and greatly outclass them at the plate. No one is more dangerous at bat than Ivan Melendez, who was named Collegiate Baseball’s player of the year.
 
Texas’ 63.0% implied win probability is the highest among lower-ranked teams and is the fourth-highest of any team in the round.
 
#10 North Carolina vs. Arkansas (Chapel Hill, NC)
North Carolina -120
Arkansas -110

Oddsmakers pin this series as a near toss-up, with UNC (54.6% win probability) just barely edging Arkansas (52.4%) at home. Arkansas will likely be a public darling in this series given their recent win history and dramatic fashion winning the Stillwater Regional last weekend. North Carolina has flown majorly under the radar all season long and, on paper, appears to be the better team in this series.
 
While the Razorbacks may get the slight nod on the mound, UNC has the top four ranked hitters in this series.
 
#11 Southern Miss vs. Ole Miss (Hattiesburg, MS)
Southern Miss +105
Ole Miss -135

Oddsmakers like Ole Miss in this series, making them the only non-Regional host to be favored over a regional host this round. The Rebels have a 57.8% implied win probability in the series despite Southern Miss having split the season series 1-1 and taking the game played at Pete Taylor Park (where this Super is being held). The Golden Eagles have a vastly superior rotation and don’t fall far behind at the plate, at least on paper.
 
Ole Miss, like LSU in the round prior, will be well-represented as Southern Miss continues to pull strong regional SEC brands.